Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 306.700161 348.710658 395.974117 453.399145 521.702482 600.867170 700.321207
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 237.418210 289.473540 353.539120 439.349745 553.078448 701.266583 913.438679
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 199.535527 254.248492 325.575290 427.488728 572.973966 779.066689 1104.439564
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 181.398835 239.822712 319.792822 440.645921 624.977354 906.953531 1395.672621
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 164.524229 224.028127 308.750948 442.849403 659.145409 1012.836366 1679.486830
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 148.313541 206.814222 292.819433 434.252850 673.384944 1087.574234 1928.756604
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 137.246963 195.677614 284.206181 435.199224 702.447657 1192.535118 2266.767880
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 125.618636 182.367998 270.500184 425.446926 710.500705 1259.604871 2547.385189
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 117.155529 173.081562 262.047038 423.197743 731.327902 1355.344863 2925.909998
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 106.428478 159.220675 244.670090 402.857776 714.064879 1368.440465 3107.336647
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 103.673711 158.002042 248.231108 420.812156 775.370840 1565.546840 3854.760827
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 102.072650 158.490780 254.665181 444.884244 853.742887 1823.238572 4913.087759
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 96.707063 152.296227 248.958382 445.142904 882.000115 1970.511135 5724.083742
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 89.941640 143.184798 237.194693 431.863507 877.566818 2032.999848 6283.853289
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 84.081224 135.227848 226.851357 420.239988 875.018423 2100.476234 6910.768645
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 81.829583 133.522256 228.048970 433.116638 934.481573 2365.046803 8564.187303
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 78.483555 129.564327 224.543158 435.272815 967.369338 2560.931662 10091.481298
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 74.247515 123.667679 216.741529 426.860395 970.949318 2664.254809 11253.713967
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 71.352568 120.076846 213.213206 427.786544 1000.200764 2865.759597 13195.872679
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 67.623069 114.667926 205.586935 418.242129 998.377143 2956.832489 14574.665228
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 64.887194 110.993587 201.234706 416.040718 1017.606631 3135.140014 16800.566775
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 60.691020 104.262614 190.076886 396.129814 980.784467 3082.728849 17251.822603
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 60.162136 104.653199 193.890080 413.705732 1062.094657 3546.349537 22727.519211